In brief
Experts are calling for international discussions on how to address the climate impact of jet planes, emphasizing the potential for low-cost solutions at the upcoming UN climate conference, COP29, in Baku.
In a groundbreaking study, experts have identified that the climate-damaging vapours, commonly known as contrails, produced by jet planes could be effectively managed with minimal expenditure, potentially reducing their warming effects significantly. Contrary to various conspiracy theories linking these vapours to mind control and disease, scientists attribute their actual risk to the greenhouse gas emissions from aircraft, which can double heating effects.Contrails form under specific atmospheric conditions, similar to the mist produced when breathing in cold air. As aircraft traverse cold, humid zones, the exhaust vapour condenses, creating these trails, and its impact on global warming is now receiving increased attention. “These artificial circumclouds prevent heat from escaping the Earth's atmosphere," explained Carlos Lopez de la Osa from Transport & Environment, who emphasized that contrails contribute to warming almost as much as carbon emissions from aviation.Myths surrounding contrails, which some label "chemtrails," suggest malicious intent behind their formation, such as population control or the spread of diseases. These claims have no scientific basis, as reiterated by Matteo Mirolo from Breakthrough Energy, who noted the necessity for clarity in discussions about contrails at COP29. The conference aims to highlight that relatively straightforward adjustments to flight patterns could diminish the warming effects of contrails significantly.Research indicates that approximatively 80% of contrail-related warming arises from only 3% of flights. Minor adjustments to certain flight paths may lead to a reduction of more than 50% in contrail warming by 2040, costing less than £4 per flight. Factors such as geography, seasonality, and flight timing play substantial roles in contrail formation, with pathways over North America and Europe being particularly consequential. Evening and night flights generate the most heat-trapping contrails.As aviation continues to adapt, it is suggested that flight planning procedures should be modified to avoid areas conducive to contrail formation. Lopez de la Osa emphasized that this could be one of the most straightforward climate initiatives discussed during COP29 and hopes that the event will enhance understanding of both the contrail issue and practical solutions.The researchers advocate for a well-rounded approach to climate change, suggesting that while sustainable aviation fuel development is essential, resolving contrail-related impacts could yield significant climate benefits at a fraction of the cost.



