Indiana state senators are gearing up for a crucial vote on redistricting amid significant pressure from President Donald Trump. After months of mounting influence and even threats directed at lawmakers, uncertainty looms over the outcome of this high-stakes decision.

Despite one-on-one pressures from the White House and concerning threats, numerous Indiana Republicans are hesitant to support a new congressional map designed to benefit their party in the upcoming 2026 elections. This unusual mid-decadal redistricting, urged by Trump, aims to create additional winnable seats for the GOP as Democrats project confidence in flipping the U.S. House, especially after recent high-profile electoral victories.

Trump advocates for a map proposed by the National Republican Redistricting Trust that seeks to deliver all nine of Indiana's congressional seats to the Republican Party. Currently, the Republicans control seven of these seats, and the plan entails splitting Indianapolis into multiple districts, which aims to dilute urban Democratic voting strength.

On Wednesday, Trump openly criticized party members resistant to the redistricting plan and reinforced his threat to support primary challenges against those who oppose it. If Republicans will not do what is necessary to save our country, they will eventually lose everything to the Democrats, he stated.

The new map proposes changes that would break up the urban representation of Indianapolis, which has been historically held by Democratic U.S. Rep. André Carson. Additionally, the map aims to eliminate the district of U.S. Rep. Frank Mrvan, representing a suburban area near Chicago.

As lawmakers prepare for the vote, only a dozen of the 50 state Senate members have not affirmed their stance publicly. If a handful of Republican senators side with the Democrats and dissenting Republicans, it could represent a remarkable failure against Trump’s will. A successful vote requires at least 25 affirmative votes, while a tie would rely on the vote of Republican Lt. Gov. Micah Beckwith.

This situation exemplifies the intense political maneuvers surrounding redistricting nationwide, as states reconsider district maps with significant implications for congressional power dynamics in future elections.