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Glacial Ice Set to Diminish Despite Climate Efforts, Study Indicates

New research reveals that glaciers will continue to lose mass over centuries, even if global warming is halted immediately.

By Rebecca DzombakSource: nytimes.com1 min read
Glacial Ice Set to Diminish Despite Climate Efforts, Study Indicates
Image via nytimes.com

In brief

A recent study indicates that even with strict climate measures in place, the world's glaciers are on an irreversible path to shrinking extensively over the coming centuries. Researchers estimate that, regardless of any climate mitigation efforts, glaciers not covered by major ice sheets could lose up to one-third of their total mass if temperatures were to remain stable for the next millennium—which remains a highly unlikely scenario.

Nonetheless, the findings also provide a silver lining: By striving to limit global temperature increases to 1.5 degrees Celsius (2.7 degrees Fahrenheit) above preindustrial levels, approximately twice as much glacial ice can be preserved over the next thousand years compared to a scenario where temperatures rise by 2.7 degrees Celsius, the current trajectory for the year 2100. "Every fractional decrease in warming can substantially aid in the preservation of glacial ice," stated glacial modeler Lilian Schuster from the University of Innsbruck, who co-authored the study published in the journal Science.While the massive ice sheets in Antarctica and Greenland often steal the spotlight in discussions about climate change—due to their potential to raise sea levels by more than 200 feet if melted—glaciers found in mountainous regions and fringes of ice sheets also play a vital yet less recognized role in the climate narrative. Though they represent less than half of 1% of the world’s total ice, their melting could contribute significantly to global sea levels, adding around one foot to the overall rise.In conclusion, while glaciers face inevitable decline, proactive climate interventions can help curtail the most severe impacts of their melting.

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