Despite these positive indicators, the retail sector displayed a concerning slowdown, with sales growth dropping to 4.8% from 6.4% in May. Additionally, the real estate market remains under pressure, evidenced by new home prices declining at their fastest rate in eight months. Analysts are divided on the long-term outlook, with some expecting that the impact of tariffs could be more pronounced in the latter half of the year, calling for increased government stimulus to achieve the annual growth target of 5%.

As tensions continue between the U.S. and China, with tariffs and negotiations on trade looming, the path ahead remains uncertain. There remains optimism about maintaining a minimum growth threshold of 4%, essential for political stability.

The ongoing trade war has seen escalating tariffs from both nations, with significant duties imposed on each other's imports. As negotiations progress towards a potential long-term trade deal before the August 12 deadline, the effects on global trade and China's economic future will be critical to monitor in the upcoming months.