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Brexit and Trump: Diverging Paths of Populism

As Trump's second term unfolds, the narratives of Brexit and his political journey diverge, offering lessons for both movements.

By David RuncimanSource: nytimes.com1 min read

In brief

While Brexit and Trump's rise to power once appeared intertwined as manifestations of populism, their trajectories now uncover distinct cautionary tales. Trump's chaotic approach contrasts sharply with Brexit's entrapment within conventional politics, showcasing the challenges of both movements.

In the aftermath of the 2016 elections, the political landscapes of Brexit and Donald Trump's populism were often conflated, perceived as two chapters of an unfolding narrative of discontent. Initially, Trump, seemingly unversed in the details of Brexit, quickly aligned himself with the anti-establishment sentiments this movement unleashed. His prediction of being called "MR BREXIT" post-referendum resonated with his growing political influence in the U.S., positioning him as a populist figure aligned against a common adversary.However, nearly a decade later and with Trump back in the White House, it is clear that Brexit and Trump are no longer parallel narratives—they are unfolding as distinctly different tales, each with its unique challenges and failures. The Brexit movement, which aimed at restoring Britain's independence and disrupting political norms, faced the harsh reality of integration back into conventional political structures. The lack of a coherent strategy to fulfill the revolutionary promise has left Brexit leaders grappling with minimal victories, while the broader political system ultimately prevails.On the contrary, Trump's political journey has evolved the opposite way. In his first term, institutional checks curtailed his approach, leading to his electoral defeat. However, returning to power, he seems determined to dismantle these very systems that once restrained him. The underlying question remains: what emerges from this chaos once established alliances are severed? Trump's current offerings are largely characterized by upheaval and disruption, lacking a substantive vision for the future.Where these two movements once seemed intertwined as manifestations of a populist uprising, they now serve as distinct, sobering moral lessons. Brexit remains mired in conventional politics while Trump's trajectory poses a threat to political stability. As each movement confronts its realities, the cautionary tales they present may ultimately guide future political landscapes.

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